Why Are Stocks Crashing? The U.S. Election, Leverage or Something Bigger?

In this episode of The Canadian Macro Investor, Simon and Dan break down a brutal day for markets as the Nasdaq plunges and semiconductor stocks get hit especially hard. They discuss the role leverage and forced selling may be playing in the decline, why memory stocks can look deceptively cheap at the top of a cycle, and how an AI-driven selloff could eventually spill over into consumer spending through the wealth effect.

They also look at the fallout from the U.S. elections and why opposition to data-centre construction could become a much bigger issue for the AI buildout. Texas alone represents a significant share of projected new capacity, raising questions for companies tied heavily to data centres and NeoCloud infrastructure. Simon and Dan discuss whether this could create an opportunity for Canada given its power resources, available land and infrastructure needs.

The conversation then turns to Anthropic’s upcoming IPO and whether deteriorating AI sentiment could force the company to accept a lower valuation or delay its offering. They also discuss the recent repricing of private AI funding, including OpenAI raising substantially less capital than initially targeted.

Finally, they look at falling oil prices, why the inflationary fallout from the Middle East conflict could linger even if fighting ends, and what could show up in Canada’s federal budget—including infrastructure, electricity, housing incentives, defence spending and another potentially massive deficit.

Stocks/ETFs discussed: SMH, NVDA, ASML, MU, INTC, AMD, MSFT, CRWV, ORCL, SPCX, PWR, GEV

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