In this episode, Simon and Dan cover a wide mix of macro updates, Canadian corporate earnings, and AI-related investment themes.
They start by discussing the latest Canadian inflation data, where headline CPI surprisingly slowed despite a volatile energy environment. The hosts also weigh the broader macroeconomic impact of surging bond yields—highlighting the climb in both U.S. and Canadian yields—and explain how these moves directly pressure household disposable income via upcoming fixed-rate mortgage renewals.
The conversation then shifts to corporate earnings, starting with Constellation Software's strong quarter, record M&A spending, and whether AI poses a structural threat to the software sector. They also touch on Atkins Réalis (formerly SNC-Lavalin), reviewing its massive nuclear opportunities, unique Candu technology moat, and a new partnership with Nvidia to develop nuclear-powered AI factories.
They wrap up by analyzing Canadian Tire's sluggish retail top-line growth, exploring a large sequential decline in Sport Chek store locations and elevated credit card delinquencies that signal a stretched consumer. Finally, the hosts highlight key industrial earnings from Applied Materials and Finning International, which are both capitalizing on the massive infrastructure and data center build-outs fueling the global AI boom.
Tickers of stocks discussed: CSU.TO, ATRL.TO, WSP.TO, CTC-A.TO, DOL, AMAT, ASML, FTT, TIH
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