In this episode, we start by talking about Berkshire Hathaway's record cash holdings which have now reached 277B.
Simon then goes over the mechanics of RRIFs and LIFs, offering a detailed breakdown of how these retirement income funds work. He also shares learnings following the conversion of his parent’s investments to RIFs and LIFs.
We also revisit a Canadian small-cap company, MDA, which Braden had previously flagged as one to watch and why it's still on his radar.
Finally, we'll discuss Bitcoin’s recent volatility, examining how the unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade has impacted the market..
Tickers of Stocks & ETF discussed: GM, F, SPOT, DIS, BMW, VOW, PARA, WBD, RY.TO, TD.TO
Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com
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[00:00:00] [SPEAKER_01]: This is the Canadian Investor where you take control of your own portfolio and gain the confidence
[00:00:07] [SPEAKER_01]: you need to succeed in the markets.
[00:00:10] [SPEAKER_01]: Hosted by Braden Dennis and Simon Belanger.
[00:00:14] [SPEAKER_02]: The Canadian Investor podcast, welcome into the show.
[00:00:19] [SPEAKER_02]: My name is Braden Dennis as always joined by the stellar Simon Belanger.
[00:00:25] [SPEAKER_02]: Let's start with a game.
[00:00:27] [SPEAKER_02]: You know how I like to do this.
[00:00:28] [SPEAKER_02]: Yeah.
[00:00:29] [SPEAKER_02]: Keep you on your toes.
[00:00:30] [SPEAKER_02]: I've got a puzzle for you hot out of the gate year.
[00:00:33] [SPEAKER_02]: Are you ready?
[00:00:35] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, go for it.
[00:00:36] [SPEAKER_02]: What do these groups of companies have in common?
[00:00:40] [SPEAKER_02]: Okay, so I'm going to give you three baskets of companies and then you can try to weave
[00:00:46] [SPEAKER_02]: them together like what is what basket one have together what is basket two have together
[00:00:51] [SPEAKER_02]: what is basket three have together okay and then is there a story that connects
[00:00:55] [SPEAKER_02]: them.
[00:00:55] [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, I didn't know I had to study for this episode.
[00:00:58] [SPEAKER_00]: Yes, yeah.
[00:01:00] [SPEAKER_02]: You're being graded the first basket Mercedes Benz BMW GM General Motors Ford Volkswagen.
[00:01:12] [SPEAKER_02]: Okay, that's basket one.
[00:01:14] [SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
[00:01:14] [SPEAKER_02]: Basket two is Spotify, Disney, Paramount and Warner Bros.
[00:01:22] [SPEAKER_02]: Okay, that's basket two.
[00:01:24] [SPEAKER_02]: Basket three just makes up of two Canadian banks, RBC and TD Bank.
[00:01:31] [SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
[00:01:33] [SPEAKER_02]: These are the three baskets.
[00:01:35] [SPEAKER_02]: What do they have in common between them?
[00:01:38] [SPEAKER_02]: What do they have common across all three baskets?
[00:01:41] [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so I'm going to go with
[00:01:44] [SPEAKER_00]: the first one obviously their auto manufacturers.
[00:01:50] [SPEAKER_00]: Correct.
[00:01:50] [SPEAKER_00]: I would say more kind of legacy auto manufacturers if I had to put it that have been around for
[00:01:59] [SPEAKER_00]: quite some time.
[00:02:01] [SPEAKER_00]: Yep, yep, that's right.
[00:02:03] [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, those are what comes to mind.
[00:02:05] [SPEAKER_00]: The second group with Spotify, Disney, Paramount, all of that I'm going to say is more like
[00:02:11] [SPEAKER_00]: streaming services.
[00:02:12] [SPEAKER_00]: Yep, correct.
[00:02:13] [SPEAKER_00]: That's the thing that comes to mind and then the last one I'll just say they're
[00:02:17] [SPEAKER_00]: the only two Canadian banks that are G-Sibs so globally, systematically.
[00:02:22] [SPEAKER_00]: You know what I mean?
[00:02:24] [SPEAKER_00]: Important banks.
[00:02:26] [SPEAKER_00]: G-Sibs.
[00:02:27] [SPEAKER_02]: See, you're a really smart guy and you're able to weave those together.
[00:02:33] [SPEAKER_02]: But you know what?
[00:02:34] [SPEAKER_02]: You're wrong.
[00:02:35] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I was going to say it's not what you wanted to hear.
[00:02:37] [SPEAKER_02]: That's okay.
[00:02:39] [SPEAKER_02]: All three baskets, no matter which way you slice them.
[00:02:43] [SPEAKER_02]: If you add up the market caps of all of the baskets, you get a amount smaller than the
[00:02:53] [SPEAKER_02]: Berkshire Hathaway cash pile.
[00:02:56] [SPEAKER_02]: That's very, yeah, yeah.
[00:02:59] [SPEAKER_02]: $277 billion sitting on their balance sheet and cash or short-term liquid investments.
[00:03:08] [SPEAKER_02]: Unbelievable.
[00:03:09] [SPEAKER_02]: It's just absolutely unbelievable.
[00:03:12] [SPEAKER_02]: They've sold a bunch more of Apple here and I know this was an impossible riddle to solve
[00:03:18] [SPEAKER_02]: here but that's the fun here on the podcast.
[00:03:21] [SPEAKER_00]: So how much do they have again?
[00:03:24] [SPEAKER_02]: $277 billion.
[00:03:25] [SPEAKER_00]: Oh yeah, that's right.
[00:03:26] [SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
[00:03:27] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I was pulling it up here on finchad.io.
[00:03:31] [SPEAKER_00]: It's kind of crazy and I've definitely been looking into this quite a little bit
[00:03:37] [SPEAKER_00]: as well.
[00:03:37] [SPEAKER_00]: And it's, well first of all I think people get too worked up with Berkshire adding some
[00:03:45] [SPEAKER_00]: money on their like having a lot of cash on their balance sheet because if you look at
[00:03:49] [SPEAKER_00]: their cash on their balance sheet, especially if I look on the kind of annual basis over
[00:03:54] [SPEAKER_00]: time, for the most part it kind of increases gradually.
[00:03:58] [SPEAKER_00]: You can even make a case that it kind of creases a little bit with inflation just
[00:04:02] [SPEAKER_00]: because they have such a big insurance business.
[00:04:05] [SPEAKER_00]: They need to have a decent amount of cash on the balance sheet but the most recent one
[00:04:09] [SPEAKER_00]: really took a lot of people by surprise because the increase was significantly more than traditionally
[00:04:16] [SPEAKER_00]: it has been for Berkshire.
[00:04:19] [SPEAKER_00]: Of course sometimes it goes down if they're making some pretty big purchases and usually
[00:04:23] [SPEAKER_00]: that's because he's being very strategic but this most recent one especially selling
[00:04:27] [SPEAKER_00]: of more Apple shares, I think it's an indicator that Buffett is really seeing the
[00:04:34] [SPEAKER_00]: markets as over value and I think he uses this, what is it the US total market cap versus
[00:04:39] [SPEAKER_00]: GDP is kind of the Buffett indicator and it's sky high right now.
[00:04:44] [SPEAKER_00]: I think it's one of the highest level it's ever been so that would make a whole lot
[00:04:48] [SPEAKER_00]: of sense why he's keeping a lot of cash on the balance sheet.
[00:04:52] [SPEAKER_02]: Yeah it's an astounding amount of cash.
[00:04:54] [SPEAKER_02]: I think most people kind of look at Berkshire, the conglomerate and you look at it
[00:05:01] [SPEAKER_02]: and you go okay you're probably going to get market returns or better just because they have
[00:05:05] [SPEAKER_02]: a great group of businesses, a bunch of regulated assets that have amazing contracts whether
[00:05:14] [SPEAKER_02]: it's utilities or railroads or the insurance businesses.
[00:05:18] [SPEAKER_02]: You're getting a lot of regulated return businesses inside of it and then of course
[00:05:24] [SPEAKER_02]: the public market portfolio you have one of the best of all time if not the number
[00:05:30] [SPEAKER_02]: one goat of all time managing it and so you think okay probably a pretty good bet and of
[00:05:38] [SPEAKER_02]: course it has been but this cash drag it's become such a sizable portion of the market
[00:05:45] [SPEAKER_02]: cap like the market cap is just under a trillion and you have 277 in basically cash.
[00:05:52] [SPEAKER_02]: You can get a pretty good return on it now luckily thankfully.
[00:05:56] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah I mean you know my portfolio and I've been pretty vocal in the podcast now for over a year
[00:06:02] [SPEAKER_00]: is that I don't think there's anything wrong with having some cash in your portfolio at
[00:06:07] [SPEAKER_00]: these rates especially if you're looking at US Treasury bills which is what Berkshire
[00:06:11] [SPEAKER_00]: I think most of it is US Treasury bills really short term and I don't know if we talked
[00:06:16] [SPEAKER_00]: about it on the podcast or was just chatting like that but if you're looking since the
[00:06:20] [SPEAKER_00]: start of the year denominator in Canadian dollar you're looking at about 7% returns if
[00:06:26] [SPEAKER_00]: you've been holding US Treasury bills with the combination of the interest rates that
[00:06:31] [SPEAKER_00]: you're getting or the coupon you're getting for the Treasury bill plus the depreciation
[00:06:37] [SPEAKER_00]: of the Canadian dollar versus the US dollars it's been I mean it's not a huge portion
[00:06:42] [SPEAKER_00]: of my portfolio it's around 10% but it's been like I'm not going to complete sure
[00:06:46] [SPEAKER_00]: I've trailed the market but also the flexibility it gives me if there are opportunities I think
[00:06:53] [SPEAKER_00]: that is worth a decent amount of returns as well that you're not getting.
[00:06:58] [SPEAKER_02]: Let's move on to your first segment here RIF and LIFS you got a couple examples to work
[00:07:06] [SPEAKER_02]: through here as well these are obviously accounts here in Canada that people might
[00:07:12] [SPEAKER_00]: be familiar with down the line. Yeah exactly so if you're American keep listening because
[00:07:17] [SPEAKER_00]: if you decide to move to Canada maybe you'll use them eventually but having said that so RIFs and
[00:07:23] [SPEAKER_00]: LIFS and I'll explain I'll do a bit of a refresher here because we have talked about it but must
[00:07:28] [SPEAKER_00]: have been a couple years ago the last time we talked about it and the reason I wanted to
[00:07:33] [SPEAKER_00]: talk about this is I recently helped my parents they've turned 71 last year so they had to
[00:07:40] [SPEAKER_00]: convert in December of last year their RSPs and they're locked in RSPs to RIFs and LIFS so I'll
[00:07:48] [SPEAKER_00]: explain a bit how it works and the experience of kind of helping them with that and some of the
[00:07:53] [SPEAKER_00]: things you learn as you're actually converting it. So a RIF which is our IF so it's a retirement
[00:07:59] [SPEAKER_00]: income fund or registered retirement income fund before age 71 you can withdraw RSPs whenever
[00:08:06] [SPEAKER_00]: you want but it adds to your taxable income but like I mentioned by December of the year in which
[00:08:12] [SPEAKER_00]: it reached 71 you have to convert your RSP to either a RIF or another income producing vehicle
[00:08:19] [SPEAKER_00]: could be like an annuity for example a quick note here doesn't have to be either or you can do a
[00:08:24] [SPEAKER_00]: combination of both as well and RIFs are for regular RSPs not for locked-in RSPs so that
[00:08:31] [SPEAKER_00]: would be the left I'll talk about that in a second here and once it's converted to RIF there is a
[00:08:36] [SPEAKER_00]: minimum percentage that you must withdraw every year but there is no maximum the minimum percentage
[00:08:42] [SPEAKER_00]: that you must withdraw is based on your age now for example at age 71 the minimum withdrawal is
[00:08:50] [SPEAKER_00]: 5.4% and once you hit 90 it is 20% so it does increase quite a bit the reason is the government
[00:08:58] [SPEAKER_00]: wants to get its taxes sooner or later so they force you to start withdrawing in retirement
[00:09:05] [SPEAKER_00]: and the percentage is calculated based on the value of the RIF as of December 31st of the previous
[00:09:11] [SPEAKER_00]: year so for someone who would have a RIF this year for example they had it last year as well
[00:09:17] [SPEAKER_00]: so the value as of December 31st will determine what is the minimum amount that you'll have to
[00:09:24] [SPEAKER_02]: withdraw this year I was just gonna say I don't know how helpful it would be because
[00:09:29] [SPEAKER_02]: the lira the locked-in retirement account is an account that we've talked about on this podcast
[00:09:35] [SPEAKER_02]: you know despite being at episode you know in the multiple hundreds have talked about very very
[00:09:40] [SPEAKER_02]: little and I've noticed of course this is very elementary stuff but I've noticed that some
[00:09:48] [SPEAKER_02]: folks mistake some characteristics of the lira on their RRSP around it being locked in you can't
[00:09:57] [SPEAKER_02]: early withdraw and like there's huge penalties and all this stuff of course there's tax
[00:10:01] [SPEAKER_02]: consequences but I don't know if it just might be helpful to just talk about the lira really
[00:10:07] [SPEAKER_02]: quick I think a lot of people are very familiar with the RSP moving to a RIF but what about
[00:10:14] [SPEAKER_02]: the lira when when do you get a lira I personally have a lira because I used to work for the government
[00:10:19] [SPEAKER_02]: and moved it over to self-directed lira should I don't know should we just do a little yeah yeah
[00:10:24] [SPEAKER_00]: so no that's great so I can I know these quite well so I can just talk about it like that yeah
[00:10:29] [SPEAKER_00]: so a lira it's a locked-in retirement account it's very similar to a locked-in RSP the main
[00:10:35] [SPEAKER_00]: difference between the two is a lira will be typically if you have a pension that's
[00:10:39] [SPEAKER_00]: provincially regulated so each province will kind of have their own set of rules regarding the the
[00:10:45] [SPEAKER_00]: liras but typically it'll be a pension plan that was registered with the province so that's why you
[00:10:51] [SPEAKER_00]: were with Ontario so that's why it's a lira I have a lira as well because when I was with the
[00:10:56] [SPEAKER_00]: city of Ottawa it was provincially legislated and then you have the locked-in RSP which would
[00:11:03] [SPEAKER_00]: be for pension plans that were with the federal legislation so for example if you have a pension
[00:11:09] [SPEAKER_00]: with an airline you would have a locked-in RSP with a big bank you would have a locked-in RSP
[00:11:15] [SPEAKER_00]: so they're very similar there's kind of small differences in terms of when you do convert it to
[00:11:21] [SPEAKER_00]: life income fund for example there's some variances of that and the life incomes fun is the lift so
[00:11:28] [SPEAKER_00]: it's essentially how you want to withdraw the money like you mentioned you alluded to
[00:11:32] [SPEAKER_00]: the lira and the locked-in RSP are locked in so you're not able to withdraw the funds until
[00:11:39] [SPEAKER_00]: you converted to a retirement vehicle or retirement income vehicle there are certain very kind of
[00:11:47] [SPEAKER_00]: special exceptions that you know I think if you have a shortened life expectancy I think you can get
[00:11:53] [SPEAKER_00]: potentially the funds a bit earlier they're very rare and they're very stringent as well
[00:11:58] [SPEAKER_00]: so you have to be able to prove in order to be able to kind of withdraw the funds or unlock
[00:12:03] [SPEAKER_00]: a certain portion of the funds before a certain age as well yeah okay helpful context not a lot
[00:12:09] [SPEAKER_02]: of people will have I don't know what percentage of the people listening this is relevant like a
[00:12:15] [SPEAKER_02]: lira is relevant to you and I both happen to have one but I don't know what percentage of
[00:12:20] [SPEAKER_02]: people would qualify but I wanted to touch on that because I have seen incorrectly people translate
[00:12:29] [SPEAKER_02]: some of the characteristics of the lira into their understanding of how RSPs work and that can be a
[00:12:36] [SPEAKER_02]: mistake tax planning in a major way in my view and around the flexibilities of what you're able
[00:12:42] [SPEAKER_00]: to do yeah exactly like the RSP gives you just a whole lot of flexibility that you don't have
[00:12:47] [SPEAKER_00]: with the lira I mean there are certain rules or both retirement accounts that are very similar
[00:12:52] [SPEAKER_00]: identical to both but again I think the withdrawal flexibility is one of the main differences I think
[00:12:58] [SPEAKER_00]: we've given this example before where let's say we have someone that goes on maternally for a year
[00:13:04] [SPEAKER_00]: and her income is much lower than it normally is and she has RSPs then you know it may be
[00:13:12] [SPEAKER_00]: worthwhile to look at potentially withdrawing some of those RSPs because you'll be at a much
[00:13:17] [SPEAKER_00]: lower tax bracket during that year for example so you can be kind of a bit more strategic with RSPs
[00:13:23] [SPEAKER_00]: without necessarily being at retirement prior to retirement you can kind of try to withdraw when
[00:13:29] [SPEAKER_00]: it's opportunistic especially if you think that those years you'll be at a lower tax bracket than
[00:13:34] [SPEAKER_00]: potentially even at retirement and so you could you know if you have a really low year in terms
[00:13:40] [SPEAKER_00]: of revenue you could you know supplement your revenues with that or even take the money get
[00:13:46] [SPEAKER_00]: taxed at a lower tax rate and put in your TFSA if you have room this is exactly what I did or I don't
[00:13:51] [SPEAKER_02]: know if you remember this like when I was just starting my company I had basic I went from making
[00:13:57] [SPEAKER_02]: you know good salary as an engineer to zero and that was very tax advantageous for me to
[00:14:05] [SPEAKER_00]: use my RSP yeah so there there's a lot more flexibility in terms of withdrawal but the
[00:14:11] [SPEAKER_00]: most important is it does add to your taxable income so I think that's that's what people need to
[00:14:17] [SPEAKER_00]: remember here to get back to the lift an easy way to remember lift and riff so an RSP starts with
[00:14:23] [SPEAKER_00]: our R so you have the riff and a life income fund is for lira or locked in RSP they both start
[00:14:30] [SPEAKER_00]: with the NL so you have the life income fund or the lift short that's associated with those
[00:14:35] [SPEAKER_00]: so that's just a little trick sometimes people kind of get confused between both of them
[00:14:40] [SPEAKER_00]: that's one trick I use when I first was getting started learning those several years ago and again
[00:14:46] [SPEAKER_00]: same thing by December of the year in which you turn 71 you have to convert these accounting to an
[00:14:51] [SPEAKER_00]: income producing vehicle however you can do it before then if you wish to do so it will vary
[00:14:57] [SPEAKER_00]: again depending on the legislation when you can convert it so keep that in mind a key difference
[00:15:03] [SPEAKER_00]: here is that you won't be able to start withdrawing funds from the locked in account
[00:15:06] [SPEAKER_00]: like I said until you convert it to a lift or another income producing vehicle so you could also buy an
[00:15:13] [SPEAKER_00]: annuity with it or a combination of boats so that's something for example that my parents did they
[00:15:19] [SPEAKER_00]: bought they use a part of it to buy an annuity and the rest they kept it in the lift and the
[00:15:24] [SPEAKER_00]: riff so that's something you can do as well another key difference is that the lift will
[00:15:29] [SPEAKER_00]: have a maximum but also sorry a minimum but also maximum withdrawal percentage
[00:15:34] [SPEAKER_00]: the percentage can also vary based on the jurisdiction of the account federally versus
[00:15:39] [SPEAKER_00]: provincial and which province more specifically I can't remember I think it's Newfoundland where
[00:15:45] [SPEAKER_00]: once you reach 80 I think you have to buy an annuity with the remaining funds I'm pretty
[00:15:52] [SPEAKER_00]: sure it's that one but uh anyways I'm just going on memory here now in terms of the
[00:15:57] [SPEAKER_00]: learnings I think this will be helpful for people in their 50s or 60s that will probably
[00:16:02] [SPEAKER_00]: be converting those into lifts or riffs in the next decade or so so once the money is in the
[00:16:09] [SPEAKER_00]: riff or lift you have a lot of flexibility when you get the payment in the calendar year so the
[00:16:14] [SPEAKER_00]: important thing that is really that you withdraw the minimum required for the year so that means
[00:16:20] [SPEAKER_00]: you can set up payments on a frequency of your choosing monthly quarterly semi-annually or
[00:16:26] [SPEAKER_00]: even a lump sum as long as you withdraw what you need to withdraw during the year you're fine
[00:16:32] [SPEAKER_00]: second is that this is something that I found with TD direct investing which is what my parents use
[00:16:37] [SPEAKER_00]: not sure if it's the same for all providers but there was some challenges to keep the US
[00:16:43] [SPEAKER_00]: denominated accounts separated from the Canadian one so I'm not sure if it's specific to TD
[00:16:50] [SPEAKER_00]: or this is all the they all operate but certain accounts they were able to keep the
[00:16:56] [SPEAKER_00]: same account but have you know how like you can keep the the US with the US your cash in US and
[00:17:01] [SPEAKER_00]: the stock that are US base and then the Canadian and Canadian cash ones but other accounts they had
[00:17:07] [SPEAKER_00]: to all be in the Canadian one which creates a challenge if you want to sell a US stock and then
[00:17:14] [SPEAKER_00]: buy another US stock because it'll automatically convert the sale to Canadian dollars and then
[00:17:20] [SPEAKER_00]: you have you would have to use the exchange rate again to buy the US stock so I don't know
[00:17:25] [SPEAKER_00]: if this is every single broker but something to be aware of if it is something that affects you as well
[00:17:33] [SPEAKER_00]: because you'll probably want to you know plan accordingly in terms of what you're buying because
[00:17:40] [SPEAKER_00]: you're going to be charged a commission potentially twice it's a bit annoying I don't like I said
[00:17:45] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't know if it's all of them they were already set up this way but having cash in your
[00:17:49] [SPEAKER_00]: riff and lift to cover the currency or payments should be in my opinion the absolutely absolute
[00:17:56] [SPEAKER_00]: minimum amount of cash that you should hold so it should be the minimum I don't think there's any
[00:18:02] [SPEAKER_00]: issue with having more cash in that I mean it's pretty simple right Braden if you have sufficient
[00:18:06] [SPEAKER_00]: cash to cover the payments then you don't need to sell shares of the stock bonds or whatever assets
[00:18:13] [SPEAKER_00]: that you have other than cash to cover those payments if you don't have enough cash then
[00:18:19] [SPEAKER_00]: you may end up screwing yourself if the markets you know go down and you have to sell assets when
[00:18:25] [SPEAKER_00]: they're depreciated so planning is extremely important here because you want to make sure
[00:18:31] [SPEAKER_00]: that you're not kind of forced to sell and we talk about that all the time right as a retail
[00:18:37] [SPEAKER_00]: investor you know you want to have an emergency fund to not be forced to sell well this is the
[00:18:41] [SPEAKER_00]: same kind of logic you want to make sure you have enough cash to cover the payment at the very
[00:18:46] [SPEAKER_00]: least for the year personally for them I think it's closer to five years that they have in treasury
[00:18:51] [SPEAKER_00]: bills to to cover the withdrawals at the current rates so they're they're pretty well set up
[00:18:57] [SPEAKER_00]: and then the last thing to keep in mind is especially if you've had multiple jobs you
[00:19:04] [SPEAKER_00]: have multiple lifts and riffs account make sure you diversify each account that's because
[00:19:10] [SPEAKER_00]: the minimum payment is established per account and not for the totality of your assets so say you
[00:19:16] [SPEAKER_00]: have all stocks in account a and all cash in account b even if you have enough cash in account b to cover
[00:19:23] [SPEAKER_00]: several years of payments for all of your accounts you won't be able to do so since the
[00:19:27] [SPEAKER_00]: withdrawals are per account so you'll still have to sell stocks in this example in account a to
[00:19:33] [SPEAKER_00]: be able to cover the minimum withdrawals so it does require some planning especially on a
[00:19:38] [SPEAKER_02]: I would not have thought that like I wouldn't know I would have never thought of that because usually
[00:19:43] [SPEAKER_02]: it's like if I have you know if I have like 10 tfsa accounts but like that encompasses my entire
[00:19:51] [SPEAKER_02]: contribution limit it doesn't give me 10 times the yeah amount of like yeah that's wild to me
[00:19:57] [SPEAKER_00]: yeah it's because too you know you'll have you could have what you know before the conversion
[00:20:02] [SPEAKER_00]: right up to a riff and lift you could have a regular rsp and then you could have a locked in rsp
[00:20:09] [SPEAKER_00]: because you worked with a federal employer and then a lira because you've worked with a provincial
[00:20:15] [SPEAKER_00]: employer in one province and then another lira where you've worked with a provincial
[00:20:19] [SPEAKER_00]: employer with another province so you know in this situation you have four accounts and it's
[00:20:24] [SPEAKER_00]: really each account because each account has there's different rules so each kind of minimum is set
[00:20:31] [SPEAKER_00]: with the account so you really have to be careful obviously if you have multiple rsp's you can combine
[00:20:36] [SPEAKER_00]: them all in one account but if it's with multiple providers I think they'll still have to force you
[00:20:42] [SPEAKER_00]: with the minimum withdrawal for each because it'll I mean at the end of the day it'll be the same
[00:20:46] [SPEAKER_00]: thing but it's still with multiple providers something to keep in mind I know it's more
[00:20:52] [SPEAKER_00]: the logistics but it can make a huge difference if you're not planning correctly because then
[00:20:57] [SPEAKER_00]: you can end up having a surprise that you were not expecting how did you learn all this when
[00:21:03] [SPEAKER_00]: you're meant to go help your parents because I mean yeah it was uh I mean I helped my parents
[00:21:08] [SPEAKER_00]: doing it for the most part there were some things I wasn't aware so all the different uh you know
[00:21:14] [SPEAKER_00]: the per account things it's not something I was aware thankfully their accounts were pretty well
[00:21:20] [SPEAKER_00]: diversified so I had to tweak things um accordingly to make sure that each account
[00:21:25] [SPEAKER_00]: had a decent amount of cash and similar kind of diversification in each account but just things that
[00:21:32] [SPEAKER_00]: I kind of learned on the go that you you know it'll be hard for people to find that information
[00:21:38] [SPEAKER_00]: until they actually do it or they work with a financial a professional that you know a
[00:21:44] [SPEAKER_00]: financial planner that specializes in that so I figured it would it would be helpful for
[00:21:49] [SPEAKER_02]: people just based on the experience I had with my parents yeah the piece of like the tip that I have
[00:21:56] [SPEAKER_02]: with this what all just called taxation stuff or registered account activity it all seems
[00:22:05] [SPEAKER_02]: incredibly confusing and that's because it is and when you read about it it is a little bit
[00:22:13] [SPEAKER_02]: overwhelming especially on government websites like they're doing they do a really good job
[00:22:17] [SPEAKER_02]: of making it confusing but it's one of those things where when you go do it in practice for
[00:22:23] [SPEAKER_02]: yourself or a family member that's when you learn it at all makes sense like it's it's really hard to
[00:22:30] [SPEAKER_02]: learn when you don't have an application of it in your own in your own world right like you can
[00:22:37] [SPEAKER_02]: learn about all the taxable accounts you can read every book about the rsp the tfsa the
[00:22:43] [SPEAKER_02]: lira the you know when it converts to lifts and riffs but until you actually have to do it in
[00:22:50] [SPEAKER_02]: practice with your own account or family members count it's really overwhelming so my my tip here is
[00:22:56] [SPEAKER_02]: don't get discouraged early because it can be discouraging early once you get into the
[00:23:03] [SPEAKER_02]: weeds and into the thick of it like you did in this example it starts to make a lot more
[00:23:08] [SPEAKER_02]: more sense when you have a like application to apply it to in real life whether it's account
[00:23:14] [SPEAKER_00]: your own account or like a loved one yeah yeah exactly and don't be afraid to ask like people
[00:23:20] [SPEAKER_00]: that've gone through the process before or you know find a good financial planner that would be
[00:23:26] [SPEAKER_00]: able to support you that specializes in this kind of stuff can you have a whole lot of value
[00:23:31] [SPEAKER_00]: even if there's obviously there's cost to it but again i think we've i've we've been pretty
[00:23:37] [SPEAKER_00]: consistent like a good financial planner you'll see the value that he or she provides
[00:23:42] [SPEAKER_00]: i think that's pretty not not the one that's all your mutual funds at the bank this exactly what
[00:23:47] [SPEAKER_02]: i was gonna say yeah money well spent is on complex tax situations with a very good accountant
[00:23:56] [SPEAKER_02]: and you know fixed fee financial planning for this type of stuff like if you're looking at this
[00:24:01] [SPEAKER_02]: and going okay i'm gonna need some help no problem that's that's fine you go you go get some help
[00:24:09] [SPEAKER_02]: save all all the money you've saved by not paying mutual fund fees sleep find at night knowing
[00:24:16] [SPEAKER_02]: you're gonna pay this fixed fee amount or whatever to sort through what i'll just call the umbrella
[00:24:21] [SPEAKER_02]: of taxation that's money to me that's money well spent and it can be net net profitable
[00:24:28] [SPEAKER_02]: when done correctly and if you have someone really good whereas like there's no value in this day and
[00:24:34] [SPEAKER_02]: age buying mutual funds compared to the index like i can't think of any really good claims anymore
[00:24:39] [SPEAKER_00]: no it's not easy to find them again and especially now that you can find even active
[00:24:44] [SPEAKER_00]: traded funds like active vtfs that have reasonable fees that could you know
[00:24:50] [SPEAKER_00]: that can offer you some alternatives even if you don't want index funds there's
[00:24:55] [SPEAKER_00]: pretty good alternatives out there's so many etfs that yeah i agree with you especially if we're
[00:24:59] [SPEAKER_00]: looking at you know load minimums and that you have to commit and stuff like that etfs offer
[00:25:07] [SPEAKER_00]: i mean it just offers way more flexibility in my opinion what's that charlie munger quote
[00:25:12] [SPEAKER_02]: off the side off the top and in the off the middle yeah exactly yeah he's got some good quotes on
[00:25:20] [SPEAKER_02]: that one all right let's shift gears to an update on my small cap segment do you remember i did i think
[00:25:27] [SPEAKER_02]: i went through six canadian small caps i don't know a month or two ago earlier in the summer
[00:25:31] [SPEAKER_02]: i remember that okay so the company that i highlighted at the end was like in summary
[00:25:39] [SPEAKER_02]: the one that i have the most kind of i need to look at this more and i kind of ranked it as
[00:25:46] [SPEAKER_02]: this one should be on my watch list the other ones are interesting but this one should be my
[00:25:50] [SPEAKER_02]: watch list strong growth nice growth prospects secular trend and actually profitable if you can
[00:25:58] [SPEAKER_02]: if you can imagine that i was talking about mda space which is ticker mda on the tron of stock
[00:26:04] [SPEAKER_02]: exchange yeah aerospace company does lots of work within in space and aerospace and so this is not
[00:26:14] [SPEAKER_02]: they don't do undersea exploration they don't do no they don't uh not yet anyways no yeah this is
[00:26:23] [SPEAKER_02]: not meant to be a news a news episode but hey this canadian company needs another look again
[00:26:29] [SPEAKER_02]: and a quick update disclosure do your own research i'm not a shareholder as of recording this
[00:26:34] [SPEAKER_02]: podcast is august 13th 2024 i am not a shareholder i don't have intentions of buying shares in
[00:26:41] [SPEAKER_02]: the next you know a little bit and i'm just putting it as like hey i've been trying to find some more
[00:26:48] [SPEAKER_02]: smaller names now this is not like some nano cap it's a couple billion of market cap but hey this is
[00:26:54] [SPEAKER_02]: there's more out there than big tech all right so their recent quarter they won a one billion
[00:27:04] [SPEAKER_02]: contract with canadian space program and the backlog is now at 4.6 billion as of the the
[00:27:12] [SPEAKER_02]: quarter end which was up 320 percent year-over-year 318 percent year-over-year now across the board
[00:27:19] [SPEAKER_02]: profitability revenue growth you know high 20 or low 20 percent across the board they've had a
[00:27:27] [SPEAKER_02]: really consistently profitable track record which is nice as well but this backlog has ballooned
[00:27:35] [SPEAKER_02]: and it's really quite impressive so the backlog went from like december q4 2019 ending quarter at
[00:27:42] [SPEAKER_02]: 462 million to now 4.6 billion so it has 10x'd since the quarter before covid basically
[00:27:53] [SPEAKER_00]: yeah like 4x in like a year basically yeah yeah it's big big contracts and when i look i'm just
[00:28:00] [SPEAKER_02]: gonna look here as well on like how much they're executing on the backlog too because we tracked
[00:28:06] [SPEAKER_02]: that kpi as well yeah well order bookings in the quarter was one and a half billion in the
[00:28:14] [SPEAKER_02]: quarter of just new bookings which is kind of absurd they won like some one big billion one and
[00:28:21] [SPEAKER_02]: you know then another 500 million which is well elevated off of other bookings like in a regular
[00:28:27] [SPEAKER_02]: quarter too so things are accelerating is the point i'm trying to say here and i asked finchat
[00:28:34] [SPEAKER_02]: to kind of summarize what big contracts they've won recently and they rewarded a billion-dollar
[00:28:42] [SPEAKER_02]: contract from the canadian space agency for the next phases of the cana canadarm
[00:28:47] [SPEAKER_02]: three program final design construction assembly integration so they're vertically
[00:28:52] [SPEAKER_02]: integrated from that perspective the international space station from the canadian space agency
[00:28:58] [SPEAKER_02]: big contracts out until 2030 the geo non-geostationary orbit satellite constellation
[00:29:06] [SPEAKER_02]: another 80 180 million dollar contract there and their square kilometer array observatory project
[00:29:14] [SPEAKER_02]: from the national research of council of canada so i'm like okay in q2 they won a bunch domestically
[00:29:23] [SPEAKER_02]: interesting but i'm i wanted to ask finchat again what about in the last four quarters
[00:29:28] [SPEAKER_02]: have they won some big contracts outside of canada because you know it's great to win a bunch of
[00:29:35] [SPEAKER_02]: canadian space program contracts but can they win a bunch in the us too is like what i really
[00:29:40] [SPEAKER_02]: want to know and no in the last four quarters they've been involved in winning contracts for the
[00:29:45] [SPEAKER_02]: nasa lunaturane vehicle the global star program the tele sat light speed network the us department
[00:29:53] [SPEAKER_02]: of defense they had a big build out for the satellite systems and the space development
[00:29:59] [SPEAKER_02]: agency for the leo constellations whatever that is so i just thought that this would
[00:30:07] [SPEAKER_02]: interesting to bring up company out of canada here the stock has obviously done tremendously well it
[00:30:13] [SPEAKER_02]: popped a lot on this result becoming public that they've won this big contract and that the backlog
[00:30:20] [SPEAKER_02]: has ballooned from you know 462 million to four four point six billion in just a few years so
[00:30:27] [SPEAKER_02]: definitely want to keep track of it's very hard to get exposure to this kind of sector in canada
[00:30:35] [SPEAKER_02]: so i posted it on twitter that like this backlog chart and a lot of people commented that
[00:30:41] [SPEAKER_02]: i know listen to the podcast like long the stock long the stock thanks for bringing it up in that
[00:30:46] [SPEAKER_02]: small cap segment right so i was like not advice but you know hope you like the pod
[00:30:54] [SPEAKER_00]: yeah and i mean i think even with um the fact on even looking at this from a macro basis
[00:31:02] [SPEAKER_00]: you're probably going to be seeing a lot of fragmentation between spending more in the
[00:31:08] [SPEAKER_00]: kind of western nations and then with the rest of the world spending on their end so they could
[00:31:14] [SPEAKER_00]: definitely benefit from more spending from friendly nations with canada obviously the us and
[00:31:20] [SPEAKER_00]: western europe as well so i think for such a small company i think the market can be
[00:31:25] [SPEAKER_02]: quite big yeah it can be looking forward uh you know the the multiple well i mean the stocks up
[00:31:35] [SPEAKER_02]: 150 total return on a trailing one year which is obviously quite nice but i don't think that price
[00:31:44] [SPEAKER_02]: is absurd i mean trailing it's a little bit pricey but analyst has to have it at a forward
[00:31:50] [SPEAKER_02]: price to earnings of 21 for next year's uh next 12 months the next four quarters of earnings
[00:31:58] [SPEAKER_02]: and estimates have been revised up a couple times too on top of yeah how accurate are estimates
[00:32:03] [SPEAKER_00]: going to be for such a small company though like there's probably what like one or two analysts
[00:32:08] [SPEAKER_00]: like covering this stock at most four four okay okay yeah four four analysts covering the name so
[00:32:15] [SPEAKER_02]: it's not like yeah i anything under like yeah if it's like one or two i kind of just throw that out but
[00:32:21] [SPEAKER_02]: you know for for professional investment bank analysts coming through cap iq data into finchats
[00:32:26] [SPEAKER_00]: that's legit yeah yeah well even dan and i we when we recorded for the earnings we're talking about
[00:32:33] [SPEAKER_00]: go easy right the subprime loan company in canada and that's one of the things we're like i personally
[00:32:39] [SPEAKER_00]: like don't give much attention to the analyst forecast because that's a company that can be
[00:32:45] [SPEAKER_00]: so affected by macro if job losses start paddling up and then the uh write-off start going up through
[00:32:53] [SPEAKER_00]: the roof like it just how can you even forecast earnings especially in the period right now so i
[00:32:58] [SPEAKER_00]: think it just i wanted to mention that because i think there are businesses where it's a bit easier
[00:33:03] [SPEAKER_00]: to forecast earnings a year out where others i think you need to take with a big grain assault
[00:33:10] [SPEAKER_00]: in this situation like i mentioned or a situation where there's like one or two analysts at most and
[00:33:16] [SPEAKER_00]: it's you know the sample so small that i think there can be a lot of variance yeah no and it
[00:33:22] [SPEAKER_02]: makes sense you gotta look at how many analysts are covering it if it's a small cap name that
[00:33:28] [SPEAKER_02]: kind of stuff but you know just just thinking out loud here they're doing 130 million of ibeda
[00:33:36] [SPEAKER_02]: the market cap is 1.7 billion canadian by the way that's a canadian that's 500 million us yeah
[00:33:45] [SPEAKER_02]: that's like 20 bucks us so you know you look at it from that perspective they're growing
[00:33:51] [SPEAKER_02]: the growing profitably an accelerated pace do you think the company can be worth a lot more than
[00:33:59] [SPEAKER_02]: 1.7 billion and i know that's really back of the envelope way to look at it but that's kind of first
[00:34:04] [SPEAKER_02]: principles of how i'd look at a lot of these names if you're buying something small your
[00:34:11] [SPEAKER_02]: hurdle rate for growth should be higher that's that's been my opinion on looking at small caps
[00:34:17] [SPEAKER_02]: for a long long time i don't think it makes sense to look at it the other way when you can buy
[00:34:23] [SPEAKER_02]: you know microsoft growing the top line at 15 percent like it's it's a hard it's a difficult
[00:34:29] [SPEAKER_00]: hurdle rate yeah would you find a company like this which clearly it is you know at the cutting
[00:34:36] [SPEAKER_00]: let's it's probably at the cutting edge of technology when it comes to it's actually a
[00:34:41] [SPEAKER_00]: old company by the way yeah but how like would that be a concern to you just for me it would be
[00:34:47] [SPEAKER_00]: right just trying to fully understand the business i'd like or you're or you just get into it knowing
[00:34:53] [SPEAKER_00]: that you know you won't fully understand the business you may get a general idea of like what
[00:34:59] [SPEAKER_00]: they do and you stay on top of the metrics and everything like that but it gets so kind of
[00:35:04] [SPEAKER_00]: technical that you almost have to kind of trust them to some extent i do think you have to have some
[00:35:12] [SPEAKER_02]: sort of understanding of what they are doing in there in this value chain for the governments here
[00:35:20] [SPEAKER_02]: like they are a government supply same way if you're buying uh rathion or why am i playing
[00:35:31] [SPEAKER_02]: rathion or something yeah buying lockheed i don't know how i blanked on that you have to have some
[00:35:36] [SPEAKER_02]: sort of understanding like what are they delivering for as a defense contractor and yes it's really
[00:35:44] [SPEAKER_02]: hard like the switching cost for these governments when you're in is really really high and that's
[00:35:49] [SPEAKER_02]: what makes some of these businesses so great spending keeps going up over time and doesn't
[00:35:53] [SPEAKER_02]: seem to ever really falter but with these ones on space specifically yes i do think you
[00:35:59] [SPEAKER_02]: have to have some sort of opinion and i don't right now so that i'm not in a position to own it
[00:36:05] [SPEAKER_00]: no i think that's a good point yeah i just wanted to mention that because some companies like the
[00:36:09] [SPEAKER_00]: products they produce are just so complex but i agree with you i think you have to get a at least
[00:36:15] [SPEAKER_00]: a decent understanding right you don't need to know the technology in and out i mean you
[00:36:20] [SPEAKER_00]: own asml and you own it it's not like you you understand eub like in and out from point eight to
[00:36:27] [SPEAKER_00]: point uh z of like the intricacies of the whole technology right like you know it pretty well but
[00:36:34] [SPEAKER_00]: you're also you don't have a phd to to be able to understand that the intricacies you kind of
[00:36:41] [SPEAKER_00]: you know know enough about it and i think it's a good point because obviously if you want to
[00:36:47] [SPEAKER_00]: understand extremely well everything you invest in especially the super technical products
[00:36:53] [SPEAKER_00]: you're probably gonna limit your investing horizon quite a bit yeah i totally agree like on that asml
[00:36:59] [SPEAKER_02]: point that's a perfect example it's like i can explain ultraviolet lithography good enough
[00:37:06] [SPEAKER_02]: but like yeah i mean am i going to be able to talk about the complexities of how they fire
[00:37:13] [SPEAKER_02]: microscopic a microscopic piece of tin with a laser and how that creates three nanometer
[00:37:21] [SPEAKER_02]: wafers no but the fact that i can even say that is like okay you know you know the company if it
[00:37:27] [SPEAKER_00]: was very easy there'd be uh they would not have monopoly in that let's just say that well that's
[00:37:33] [SPEAKER_02]: exactly it right there's there's it's trade secrets in itself too right like their biggest
[00:37:38] [SPEAKER_02]: competitors don't know and no enough to replicate it yeah exactly and i think uh what do you think
[00:37:45] [SPEAKER_00]: we'll keep i think my next segment for next time because you've got uh no let's do it we
[00:37:51] [SPEAKER_02]: we have yeah we have we have time okay and i and i want to talk about this sure because i am
[00:37:59] [SPEAKER_02]: i'm gonna play the the devil's advocate in this segment and we're gonna talk about bitcoin
[00:38:05] [SPEAKER_02]: really quick here uh for those who are who are wondering yeah i want to play the devil's
[00:38:10] [SPEAKER_02]: i want to play the devil's advocate and set up your segment here because go for it i'm the guy
[00:38:16] [SPEAKER_02]: who likes the asset i own some of the asset but i also am like why is there so much freaking
[00:38:24] [SPEAKER_02]: correlation i've been told this is an uncorrelated asset talk me through your segment here yeah so
[00:38:31] [SPEAKER_00]: i mean the first thing so i'll talk through the segment and i would say the more obviously i've
[00:38:37] [SPEAKER_00]: learned about bitcoin a whole lot and since i've owned it for more than five years now i think
[00:38:42] [SPEAKER_00]: it's going on six years and i think the simplest explanation is liquidity i think if you understand
[00:38:50] [SPEAKER_00]: you start understanding the needs for liquidity so if there's a lot of liquidity in this system
[00:38:55] [SPEAKER_00]: it will probably be bullish for a bitcoin and then if there's a big drain on liquidity it will
[00:39:00] [SPEAKER_00]: have an opposite effect on bitcoin and that's kind of where my segment came from so bitcoin actually
[00:39:08] [SPEAKER_00]: victim of its high liquidity and the fact that it's one of the most liquid assets in the world
[00:39:14] [SPEAKER_00]: the reason for that is you are listening to mainstream media and some so-called experts there
[00:39:20] [SPEAKER_00]: are essentially i find sometimes either they don't understand it very well or they're simply
[00:39:25] [SPEAKER_00]: lying to you and the reason i'm saying that is because on sunday august 4th so remember the
[00:39:30] [SPEAKER_00]: day before the market had a large drawdown because of the yen carry trade unwinding bitcoin started
[00:39:36] [SPEAKER_00]: dropping fast so it started happening actually around like uh you know 8 p.m eastern time zone
[00:39:43] [SPEAKER_00]: and before i get into this is essentially the yen carry trade i'm talking with dan about it on
[00:39:50] [SPEAKER_00]: the episode that will be released later this week when you hear this one i do a deep dive into it
[00:39:56] [SPEAKER_00]: i explain how it works and in short though it means that the investor borrow and yen at low
[00:40:00] [SPEAKER_00]: interest rates and convert the money to say us dollars for a lot of cases to invest in us treasuries
[00:40:07] [SPEAKER_00]: or the us market so it can also be done to invest in assets in other countries but essentially you
[00:40:13] [SPEAKER_00]: borrow at low interest rate and invest in countries where the rates are higher and you collect
[00:40:17] [SPEAKER_00]: the spread the difference between both or the returns on assets you invested in if you invest
[00:40:23] [SPEAKER_00]: in other stocks for example and ideally the yen keeps getting weaker against the currency
[00:40:28] [SPEAKER_00]: you actually are investing in so the us dollar index in this example because if it gets weaker
[00:40:35] [SPEAKER_00]: you need less us dollars to repay that loan that was in yen and therefore it boosts your returns
[00:40:42] [SPEAKER_00]: on top of that and then when the yen started rapidly increasing on august 4th and 5th it
[00:40:48] [SPEAKER_00]: turned that trade upside down especially for investor that had used large amounts of leverage to do the
[00:40:54] [SPEAKER_00]: trade and when the markets crashed in japan around 9 a.m a monday august 5th it was 8 p.m in canada
[00:41:02] [SPEAKER_00]: eastern time like i mentioned so for investors that were heavy in the yen carry trade and
[00:41:07] [SPEAKER_00]: needed to cover their loans in yen or get more capital as a margin requirement for example
[00:41:13] [SPEAKER_00]: bitcoin was really the only asset that they could do that in aside from if they had actually japanese
[00:41:20] [SPEAKER_00]: asset at the time because it traded 24 7 you can convert it right away to whichever currency you
[00:41:26] [SPEAKER_00]: want so i think that explains one of the big reason why you saw that big drop on the 4th
[00:41:33] [SPEAKER_00]: is because people can move massive amounts of bitcoin very fast at a low cost and
[00:41:41] [SPEAKER_00]: obviously the other reason is there was probably a lot of leverage longs on bitcoin
[00:41:46] [SPEAKER_00]: so people that were leveraging up betting that the price of bitcoin would go up and then the price
[00:41:52] [SPEAKER_00]: drops and essentially they get liquidated or they have to add to their to their margin account
[00:41:58] [SPEAKER_00]: to not get liquidated and then you have some more price pressure down so that's why i think
[00:42:04] [SPEAKER_00]: that's a great example and i can't remember where i heard it from on the first place could
[00:42:09] [SPEAKER_00]: have been linald and talking about that but essentially i think bitcoin as it is right now
[00:42:15] [SPEAKER_00]: liquidity i think has the biggest impact on its price fluctuation whether it goes down or up
[00:42:23] [SPEAKER_02]: so for not as smart people like me the because if it's liquidity and 24 7 trading
[00:42:33] [SPEAKER_02]: you saw the price action there before us markets open on the monday is that is that
[00:42:39] [SPEAKER_00]: is that the tl dr tl dr because uh keeping like when you need money fast right you're gonna sell
[00:42:50] [SPEAKER_00]: whichever asset that you can get essentially that money the fastest and in that case it was bitcoin
[00:42:57] [SPEAKER_00]: even if you love the asset i mean when you're stuck in a bind you'll sell whatever you can
[00:43:04] [SPEAKER_00]: and oftentimes they're the either the highest quality assets or the most liquid so when you get a huge
[00:43:10] [SPEAKER_00]: market correction and someone has a margin requirement if we look at stocks for example if you had like
[00:43:15] [SPEAKER_00]: you know you're investing on margin and you have some you know apple uh you know you have the mag 7
[00:43:22] [SPEAKER_00]: and the market starts going down while you'll probably end up having to sell some of your best
[00:43:29] [SPEAKER_00]: assets to be able to cover that so that's probably an easy way to compare it to stocks as well
[00:43:36] [SPEAKER_02]: and just like order flow as well into the asset when something like that happens a lot of a lot
[00:43:41] [SPEAKER_02]: of selling pressure a lot of fear coming through the market right away and you have something
[00:43:46] [SPEAKER_02]: trading live 24 7 like bitcoin i i i guess my my thing with bitcoin is like why am i getting so much
[00:43:58] [SPEAKER_02]: correlation to the naz-dak i just the price charts look the same to me like of course you know the
[00:44:05] [SPEAKER_02]: scale being different you've done better at bitcoin but you know what i mean like the the dips and
[00:44:10] [SPEAKER_02]: and the bull runs happen at the exact same time i think it's probably a reflection of liquidity
[00:44:15] [SPEAKER_00]: i think it's probably that right you get sentiment probably in general yeah sentiment and
[00:44:20] [SPEAKER_00]: liquidity for both is the more you have liquidity with the naz-dak it was probably created in part
[00:44:25] [SPEAKER_00]: by that japanese yen carry trade because you know you get these massive amounts of money
[00:44:33] [SPEAKER_00]: that what else are they gonna invest in i mean they're not gonna be buying mda because if
[00:44:39] [SPEAKER_00]: they invest in that they'll buy the whole company outright right so they they go into whatever is
[00:44:43] [SPEAKER_00]: the most liquid and that would be the mag 7 or naz let's just say the naz-dak for the you know
[00:44:50] [SPEAKER_00]: for this discussion but they they invest in what is the most liquid that's essentially what it is
[00:44:56] [SPEAKER_00]: and treasuries are a great example treasuries us treasuries are extremely liquid probably the
[00:45:01] [SPEAKER_00]: most liquid asset in the world so that's why they these massive amounts of money they tend
[00:45:06] [SPEAKER_00]: to go where liquidity is and that's why i think a big part you're seeing those big mega caps get
[00:45:13] [SPEAKER_00]: bigger because that money which is also levered as well which you know that's a discussion for
[00:45:20] [SPEAKER_00]: another day and a little bit scary at the same time but that's the only thing really they
[00:45:25] [SPEAKER_00]: can invest in without making the price move too much yeah it's the whole idea of like
[00:45:30] [SPEAKER_02]: reflexivity and and and cheap cost of capital like for those who are not familiar with the term
[00:45:37] [SPEAKER_02]: it's a it's a very fancy word but it's really just a feedback loop reflexivity just means like it's a
[00:45:43] [SPEAKER_02]: reinforcing a self-reinforcing effect on market sentiment so if you have i think tesla has been
[00:45:59] [SPEAKER_02]: and customer base has provided very very cheap cost of capital for the company to succeed against
[00:46:08] [SPEAKER_02]: against all odds basically it's like the the fact that investors and customers were so excited
[00:46:16] [SPEAKER_02]: about the vision of tesla and the charismatic leader that it actually made tesla happen in a
[00:46:25] [SPEAKER_02]: way because then you had this like unbelievably cheap cost of capital stock could be issued at
[00:46:32] [SPEAKER_02]: all-time highs and you have customers buying a cyber truck that gets delivered five years later
[00:46:39] [SPEAKER_02]: right like yeah you have deposits sitting on for a long time i think tesla's a good example
[00:46:43] [SPEAKER_02]: of reflexivity and that's your that's kind of a market same market idea that you're talking
[00:46:48] [SPEAKER_00]: about here yeah yeah but uh no i think it's uh it was just fun to look at that and
[00:46:53] [SPEAKER_00]: you know just to see all the intricacies of like the domino effects and you know one thing
[00:47:00] [SPEAKER_00]: affects another and then the ripple effects of our financial markets fragile hey yeah i mean yeah
[00:47:07] [SPEAKER_00]: that's a good way to put it great on the bear yeah well you know anything that can be so self
[00:47:15] [SPEAKER_02]: reinforcing like that is inherently fragile it's like it's like when we the bank run that everyone's
[00:47:24] [SPEAKER_02]: forgot about immediately after with silicon valley bank last year like that was a self
[00:47:30] [SPEAKER_02]: reinforcing highly reflexive scenario where you have vcs like peter teal saying everyone get your
[00:47:37] [SPEAKER_02]: money out now and then you have widespread contagion self-reinforcing fear spread you know
[00:47:44] [SPEAKER_02]: a small bank run turns into entire bank collapse and it is inherently fragile when you have such a
[00:47:50] [SPEAKER_00]: self-reinforcing mechanism yeah it's okay j powell came in with his money printer and saved everyone
[00:47:58] [SPEAKER_02]: burr thanks for listening to the podcast folks we really appreciate you i think that was a fun chat
[00:48:03] [SPEAKER_02]: so i'm gonna i'm gonna do my best to try to keep finding some small little gems and thanks for
[00:48:14] [SPEAKER_02]: just to recap rsp riff rr lira locked in rsp ll turns into lif you got it the rst with the rs
[00:48:27] [SPEAKER_02]: l stays with the else for people for people at home who are just maybe you know on the run
[00:48:32] [SPEAKER_02]: listening or in the car uh that's how you can think about it and uh dude mark Leonard manages my
[00:48:39] [SPEAKER_02]: my lira for free by the way yeah i know
[00:48:45] [SPEAKER_02]: mark Leonard obviously the founder c of constellation software manages 100 of my lira for free also known
[00:48:52] [SPEAKER_02]: as gandalf but also known as a discussion for another day if you haven't gave the pod a follow
[00:49:00] [SPEAKER_02]: on your podcast player review it goes a long way it really really helps us if you can go on there
[00:49:06] [SPEAKER_02]: and smash uh you know five star leave us a little rating give us a little endorphin dopamine hit
[00:49:13] [SPEAKER_02]: that's fantastic and if you are in the real estate game we haven't given a shout out recently to the
[00:49:20] [SPEAKER_02]: real estate pod the canadian real estate investor podcast that's kind of like our sister podcast
[00:49:25] [SPEAKER_02]: hosted by daniel foch and nick hill they talk everything canadian real estate so if you are
[00:49:32] [SPEAKER_02]: in that game or landlord you are thinking about getting into that game or just a homeowner or
[00:49:38] [SPEAKER_02]: thinking about becoming a homeowner that is a fantastic show there's the canadian real estate
[00:49:42] [SPEAKER_02]: investor podcast and you can find it on your podcast player we'll see you in a few days take care bye
[00:49:47] [SPEAKER_00]: bye the canadian investor podcast should not be construed as investment or financial advice
[00:49:54] [SPEAKER_00]: the host and guest featured may own securities or assets discussed on this podcast always do
[00:50:00] [SPEAKER_00]: your own due diligence or consult with a financial professional before making any financial or investment
[00:50:07] [SPEAKER_00]: decisions

