In this episode, Simon and Dan break down why software stocks continue to struggle despite many companies showing little evidence of major AI disruption so far. They discuss the ongoing valuation reset across SaaS, the shift away from seat-based pricing, and why companies like Salesforce, ServiceNow, Adobe, Constellation Software, and Topicus may need more than solid earnings to regain investor confidence.
They then turn to Bitcoin, looking at why it remains well below its roughly US$125,000 peak. Simon covers the role of ETF outflows, leverage, post-election crypto optimism fading, quantum computing fears, profit-taking, and higher bond yields as potential headwinds.
To wrap up, they highlight stocks on their radar, including Visa and Mastercard as high-quality payment networks facing stablecoin disruption risk, and Waste Connections as a real-economy compounder trading at a more attractive valuation while the market remains focused on AI-related names.
Tickers of stocks discussed: CRM, NOW, ADBE, CSU.TO, TOI.V, V, MA, WCN, WM, RSG, GFL.TO, BTC.
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