In this episode, Simon and Daniel break down the growing macro risks facing Canada and the U.S., starting with the recent oil shock and what it could mean for inflation, consumer spending, and central bank policy. They discuss why Canada’s energy infrastructure is back in focus, including potential federal support for a new Alberta-to-West Coast pipeline, the bigger debate around a West-to-East pipeline, and why energy security could become a much larger political and economic issue.
They also look at the latest U.S. CPI and PPI data, the relationship between producer prices and future inflation, and how central banks may respond if higher energy prices start flowing through the economy. The conversation then shifts to the sharp rally in semiconductor stocks, massive AI-related capex from the mega-cap tech companies, and whether markets are starting to show signs of excess.
The episode wraps up with a discussion on privatizing Canadian infrastructure assets like airports and ports, rising U.S. Treasury yields, Canadian consumer debt, and why the current economy feels increasingly K-shaped.
Tickers of stocks discussed: NVDA, TSM, INTC, SMH, GOOGL, META, MSFT, AMZN, ORCL
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